Korea seasonally adjusted current accountBank of Korea · ECOS
Trailing 12 months · last reading each month · 8 of 12 months available
44,427.626,856.759,285.9
Sep 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026
For Korea seasonally adjusted current account, the Jun 2026 stored reading is about 44.4 billion U.S. dollars; the gap from the first stored month is +35 billion U.S. dollars.
Current reading44,427.6 million U.S. dollars · 2026-06-01H− supports · H+ opposes
Change from prior reading+6,306.5H− supports · H+ opposes
Trailing 12 months · last reading each month · 8 of 12 months available
102,165,51180,838,544.559,511,578
Sep 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026
The last stored reading for Korea customs exports is about 102.2 billion U.S. dollars (Jun 2026), a change of +36.3 billion U.S. dollars from the first stored month.
Current reading102,165,511 thousand U.S. dollars · 2026-06-01H− supports · H+ opposes
Change from prior reading+16.62%H− supports · H+ opposes
If tighter Korean policy and stronger external inflows persist, the won can extend its rebound against the dollar.
03 · Hypothetical result to test
KRW per USD close is below 1372.5 on 2026-10-30.
Assumptions
Export and surplus strength stays broad enough to outweigh firmer US macro data.
Markets treat Korean tightening as durable rather than symbolic.
Invalidation signals
A renewed dollar bid from hotter US prices or growth would weaken this case.
If the won gives back its postdecision gains quickly, the rebound signal fades.
H+71/100
Above 1372.5 on 2026-10-30
01 · Frozen evidenceU.S. consumer pricesU.S. BLS · FRED
Trailing 12 months · monthly release · 10 of 12 months available
333.979329.112324.245
Sep 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026
The last stored reading for U.S. consumer prices is an index level of 332.813 (1982–84=100) (Jul 2026), a change of +8.568 points from the first stored month.
Current reading332.813 index (1982–84=100) · 2026-07-01H− opposes · H+ supports
Change from prior reading+0.07%H− opposes · H+ supports
U.S. nominal GDPU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED
Trailing 12 months · last reading each month · 3 of 12 months available
32,486.0731,954.331,422.53
Sep 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026
As of Apr 2026, U.S. nominal GDP stands at about 32.5 trillion U.S. dollars in the stored series, +1.1 trillion U.S. dollars from the first stored month.
Current reading32,486.066 billion U.S. dollars, SAAR · 2026-04-01H− opposes · H+ supports
Change from prior reading+1.95%H− opposes · H+ supports
If firmer US inflation and growth keep dollar yields attractive, recent won gains can reverse despite Korean tightening.
03 · Hypothetical result to test
KRW per USD close is above 1372.5 on 2026-10-30.
Assumptions
US data keep investors favoring dollar assets over Korean inflow momentum.
Korean export gains do not broaden enough to lock in currency strength.
Invalidation signals
Broader Korean surplus gains and steady appreciation would weaken this case.
A softer US demand or inflation path would erode dollar support.
The current weight of evidence
The “Below 1372.5 on 2026-10-30” case currently leads 79/100 to 71/100. The bars below show how the 12 evidence items split between support and opposition in each case.
Evidence
12
Evidence groups
6
Official sources
3
H−Below 1372.5 on 2026-10-308 support · 4 oppose
H+Above 1372.5 on 2026-10-304 support · 8 oppose
Scores compare logical and evidentiary support; they are not probabilities. Both outcomes are Naly hypotheses.
Reader ballot
Which case is better supported?
Read both cases and their counterevidence, then choose the one the evidence supports more strongly today.
Case A
Below 1372.5 on 2026-10-30
KRW per USD close is below 1372.5 on 2026-10-30.
Case B
Above 1372.5 on 2026-10-30
KRW per USD close is above 1372.5 on 2026-10-30.
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