daily / plate 004 OPEN
ES=F / continuous
Lean-inventory month holds: E-mini S&P 500 continuous futures ES=F close at or above 7112.36 on 2026-08-24, avoiding a 4.5 percent drawdown from the 2026-07-24 close of 7447.50.
Resolves in
Your number first.
94%
- ISRATIO fell six consecutive months, 1.37 (2025-11) to 1.28 (2026-05), the lowest value in the cited 30-month window: a lean-inventory phase, not an inventory overhang.
- In the cited 251-session ES=F study ending 2026-07-24, only 2.2 percent of rolling 21-session windows closed more than 4.5 percent below their start; the threshold 7112.36 is the 4.5 percent line under the 7447.50 last close.
- Cited ES=F momentum is positive over 30 sessions (+2.3 percent) and 63 sessions (+4.3 percent), so the drawdown line is defended from a rising trend, not a deteriorating one.
RESOLVES WIN IF CLOSE >= 7112.36 BY 2026-08-24 20:00 UTC
claimed — → hit — · N=0
No resolved calibration points yet.